官方微信公众号：CTModelling

😄平台更新 😘前沿软件 🤗学生培养🧐学术资讯

中国大学MOOC

流行病学

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CTModelling Series —— Epidemiologist Toolbox

流行病学家的工具箱 😄

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CTModelling Series —— Epidemiologist Toolbox

再生数计算器使用教程 😄

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厦门大学公共卫生学院流行病学课题组

我们致力于让中国的基层疾控部门和公共卫生人员用上更加简单易用的工具，让数据分析和可视化不再有门槛，为此我们开发了一系列产品。

如果您对于我们的工作感兴趣或者希望进一步合作，欢迎点击右上角的合作联系与我们取得联系。

CTModelling-CoVac Epidemiologist Toolbox

自主开发

development

基于人口流动、百度搜索以及京东指数等数据，建立跨区域传播的动力学模型，对全国各地流感进行模拟仿真，并基于机器学习模型对ILI+进行预测。
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厦门大学公共卫生学院流行病学课题组和中国疾病预防控制中心卫生应急中心联合开发的用于估计感染率和预测疾病流行趋势的软件——高维传播动力学模型求解器，已在中国疾病预防控制中心官网上线,使用教程。
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结合人口流动大数据和跨区域传播的数学模型，对当前新冠肺炎全国流行状态进行模拟仿真，模拟当前全国及300多个城市每日实时的新增感染人数以及累计感染人数。
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无需安装，一键式处理数据；免费，基于高德地图API，每天可以识别30万条地址信息。快速，实测单次可以处理2万条地址信息（应该还可以支持更多），每千条数据平均只需要3秒，吊打友商。使用教程。
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揭阳市疾病预防控制中心和厦门大学公共卫生学院流行病学课题组联合设计的关于人群接触模式的调研。
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由厦门大学公共卫生学院和中国疾病预防控制中心共同开发的网络平台，提供一键式实时再生数和基本再生数计算平台，无需代码，傻瓜式操作面板,使用教程。
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监测全球猴痘发病以及死亡情况，提供实时再生数变化。
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科研项目

PROJECT

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中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助

Supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities No. 20720230001

比尔盖茨·梅林基金会

The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-005834)

国家重点研发计划

National Key Research and Development Program of China

上饶共建实验室项目

广州实验室自立项目

Self-supporting Program of Guangzhou Laboratory，Grant No. SRPG22-007

论文出版

仅展示近期出版论文

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Analysis of Tuberculosis Epidemiological Distribution Characteristics in Fujian Province, China, 2005-2021: Spatial-Temporal Analysis Study

Analysis of Tuberculosis Epidemiological Distribution Characteristics in Fujian Province, China, 2005-2021: Spatial-Temporal Analysis Study

Feasibility of eliminating tuberculosis by shortening the diagnostic delay：A retrospective analysis and modelling study in China during the pre-COVID-19 era

Evaluation of wastewater percent positive for assessing epidemic trends - A case study of COVID-19 in Shangrao, China

Temporal shifts in 24 notifiable infectious diseases in China before and during the COVID-19 pandemic

MODELS: a six-step framework for developing an infectious disease model

Advancements in Defining and Estimating the Reproduction Number in Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Evaluation of the transmissibility of norovirus and the effectiveness of prevention and control measures for schools in Jiangsu Province

Epidemiological characteristics and transmissibility of HPV infection: A long-term retrospective study in Hokkien Golden Triangle, China, 2013-2021

Assessment of transmissibility and measures effectiveness of SARS in 8 regions, China, 2002-2003

Trends in disease burden of hepatitis B infection in Jiangsu Province, China, 1990–2021

Impact of public health and social measures on contact dynamics during a SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant outbreak in Quanzhou, China, March to April 2022

Simulating potential outbreaks of Delta and Omicron variants based on contact-tracing data: A modelling study in Fujian Province, China

Possibility of mpox viral transmission and control from high-risk to the general population: a modeling study

A follow up study of cycle threshold values of SARS-CoV-2 in Hunan Province, China

Contact pattern, current immune barrier, and pathogen virulence determines the optimal strategy of further vaccination

Feasibility of emulating Singapore’s experience during the Omicron wave in China: a modelling study

A comparative study on the three calculation methods for reproduction numbers of COVID-19

Epidemiological Characteristics and Transmissibility of Human Immunodeficiency Virus in Nanning City, China, 2001-2020

Viral dynamics of omicron BA.2.76 variant of SARS-CoV-2 in a cohort of COVID-19 patients

Optimal control strategies of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron supported by invasive and dynamic models

Global differences in natural transmission rates of Monkeypox virus

Epidemiology of tsutsugamushi disease and its relationship with meteorological factors in Xiamen city, China

Mathematical Models Supporting Control of COVID-19

Study on the interaction between different pathogens of Hand, foot and mouth disease in five regions of China

Natural history and cycle threshold values analysis of COVID-19 in Xiamen City, China

Comparative analysis of transmission and vaccine effectiveness in Omicron and Delta variant outbreaks in China

Epidemiological characteristics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome and its relationship with meteorological factors in Liaoning Province, China

儿童和青少年新型冠状病毒感染的研究进展

Computing R0 of dynamic models by a definition-based method

Meteorological factors and tick density affect the dynamics of SFTS in jiangsu province, China

Correlation between mumps and meteorological factors in Xiamen City, China: A modelling study

Analysis of HFMD transmissibility among the whole population and age groups in a large city of China

The optimal vaccination strategy to control COVID-19: a modeling study in Wuhan City, China

The transmission dynamics of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus

Feasibility of Booster Vaccination in High-Risk Populations for Controlling Coronavirus Variants - China, 2021

Modelling the transmission dynamics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Jiangsu Province, China

Live poultry feeding and trading network and the transmission of avian influenza A(H5N6) virus in a large city in China, 2014-2015

Epidemiological Characteristics and Transmissibility for SARS-CoV-2 of Population Level and Cluster Level in a Chinese City

Active surveillance of avian influenza in the southwestern Poyang Lake area, China: Analyzing changes in wholesale and frozen fresh retail markets post-policy implementation

Analysis of the epidemiological characteristics and influencing factors of tuberculosis among students in a large province of China, 2008-2018

A five-compartment model of age-specific transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2

Comparative analysis of transmission and vaccine effectiveness in Omicron and Delta variant outbreaks in China

Tuberculosis Prevalence Trends from a Predictive Modelling Study — 10 High-Burden Countries, 1980–2035

Early warning of hand, foot, and mouth disease transmission: A modeling study in mainland, China

Feasibility of containing shigellosis in Hubei Province, China: a modelling study

Feasibility of Hepatitis C Elimination in China: From Epidemiology, Natural History, and Intervention Perspectives

Hepatitis E in 24 Chinese Cities, 2008-2018: A New Analysis Method for the Disease’s Occupational Characteristics

Relative transmissibility of shigellosis among different age groups: A modeling study in Hubei Province, China

Seasonality of the transmissibility of hand, foot and mouth disease: a modelling study in Xiamen City, China

Shigellosis seasonality and transmission characteristics in different areas of China: A modelling study

Transmissibility of tuberculosis among students and non-students: an occupational-specific mathematical modelling

Transmission pattern of shigellosis in Wuhan City, China: a modelling study

团队成员

(姓名排序，不分先后)

导师

陈田木

副教授，博士生导师

苏艳华

助理教授，硕士生导师

博士后

芮佳

杰瑞在打工

赵泽宇

博士

在读博士

郭晓豪

李佳慧

爱与自由的间歇性体验者

李康国

417网吧网管

宋文涛

在读博士

王瑶

爱和正义的，最爱喝奶茶的美少女战士

魏鸿杰

比基尼海滩-蟹堡王蟹黄堡秘方唯一拥有者

许志颖

大型电视连续剧《兽医人在公卫》导演兼主演

在读硕士

布阿斯亚木·阿卜杜乃比

Multilingual 语言学习爱好者

陈佳颖

兜兜牌助听器持有者

方康

postgraduate

和越

犯困嫌疑人

胡子欣

拉夫克劳保安

江沙雅·巴哈提

霍格沃兹在逃巫师

柯妍姝

发呆业务爱好者

林宇豪

点外卖要用券，健身从入门到菜鸟，耳机仙人

李涛

Nature主编

刘乔

417KTV扛把子，兼417厨房厨师长

潘洁

格兰芬多优等麻瓜

邱鹭霞

CDC打工人

瞿会敏

崔斯坦追随者

汤悦

男神GG Bond全球后援会亚太地区分会长、四川邓紫棋

王冰冰

正在飞的泡泡

王嘉鹤

励志拯救塞尔达但只会上树的呀哈哈大姐头

王静

无效内卷反抗者

吴嘉栋

Still KD

吴雨晴

硕士

谢昉

闽南北混血儿、马兆海鸥守护者

谢宇伦

45°人生捍卫者，表面哈哈哈其实隐性社恐患者

杨洋

神助攻

曾文雯

快乐小狗

赵虹锋

壮汉二米五

赵昀康

艾泽拉斯的的守护者、德玛西亚的护卫者

已退休

赵本华

副教授

已毕业

邓彬

纯爱战神瑟提

郭怡超

热爱⚽和🎞️一百年不会变，时常幻想上太空

古再努尔·阿卜杜如苏力

静默者

黄杰锋

硕士、2020年翔安村职业技术学院荣誉成员、2022年奥林匹克杯获得者

李沛桦

曾宪梓楼孤勇者领唱，硕士 🦉

刘婵

Erised stra ehru oyt ube cafru oyt on wohsi

刘炜康

练习时长两年半的激铌钛镁合成与应用研究生

李卓阳

硕士

罗丽

硕士

杨蒙

不萌的小阿蒙

杨诗婷

宇宙尘埃

杨天龙

硕士

杨梓梅

最温柔的INTJ

余珊珊

Forger,Anya

祝媛钊

417荣誉硕士，艾利斯顿商学院优秀毕业生

模型实践入门

Practice of epidemiological modeling

Feb 5, 2019 12:00 AM
本Notebook通过SIR模型（易感-感染-恢复模型）展示了如何用Python编写代码来模拟流行病的传播。模型基于常微分方程（ODE），通过对易感者、感染者和恢复者人数随时间变化的建模，帮助理解疫情的动态演化过程。通过调节传播率（β）和恢复率（γ），可以模拟不同的流行病情境，并通过图表直观展示模型结果。此外，本Notebook利用scipy.integrate.odeint函数求解ODE，并通过matplotlib生成传播过程的可视化效果。

Feb 5, 2019 12:00 AM
本Notebook通过SIR模型（易感-感染-恢复模型）展示了如何用R编写代码来模拟流行病的传播。模型基于常微分方程（ODE），通过对易感者、感染者和恢复者人数随时间变化的建模，帮助理解疫情的动态演化过程。通过调节传播率（β）和恢复率（γ），可以模拟不同的流行病情境，并通过图表直观展示模型结果。

合作联系

Connect with me

  • chentianmu@xmu.edu.cn
  • 福建省厦门市翔安区翔安南路4221-117号 厦门大学公共卫生学院